计算机与现代化 ›› 2013, Vol. 1 ›› Issue (4): 153-157,.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-2475.2013.04.038

• 网络与通信 • 上一篇    下一篇

一种基于朴素贝叶斯分类的3G用户流量预测技术

陈 曦,薛广涛   

  1. 上海交通大学计算机科学与工程系,上海 200240
  • 收稿日期:2012-12-10 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2013-04-17 发布日期:2013-04-17

A 3G User Traffic Prediction Approach Based on Naive Bayesian Classifier

CHEN Xi, XUE Guang-tao   

  1. Department of Computer Science & Engineering, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200240, China
  • Received:2012-12-10 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2013-04-17 Published:2013-04-17

摘要: 随着3G网络的快速发展和用户数目的迅速增长,3G用户网络数据分析成为当前的研究热点问题之一。本文搭建一个海量数据处理平台,针对大规模移动用户数据进行分析处理,通过观察新用户的短期流量、移动性和设备类型等特征,提出一种基于朴素贝叶斯分类器方法预测用户长期流量的机制,并通过实验证明该方法的有效性,平均预测准确性可以达到80%以上。

关键词: 3G网络, 数据/控制过程分析, 移动设备流量分析, 朴素贝叶斯分类器, 流量预测

Abstract: As 3G network and the number of 3G users rapidly grow, the research on data analysis of 3G networks has become a hot topic. This paper sets up a bigdata storage and computing platform and conducts an analysis of large-scaled mobile user data. Based on the short term user traffic features, mobility and device type, this paper predicts long-term traffic of new users, using naive Bayesian classifier and further validats the feasibility of this method by experiments with an average accuracy more than 80%.

Key words: 3G network, data/control plane analysis, mobile device traffic analysis, naive Bayesian classifier, traffic prediction

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